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Hurricane HERNAN Rain: Probability of at least 5 cm in the next 24 hrs

This forecast track differs from that on the Storm Tracker pages since it is made by a different model and updates 12-hourly rather than 6-hourly.

Storm

Current Satellite Images
Region	Image Type
Atlantic	IR	Visible
Atlantic	WV	IR En
NE Pacific	IR	Visible
NW Pacific	IR	WV
Indian Ocean	IR	WV
W Australia	IR	WV
E Australia	IR	WV
SW Pacific	IR	WV

Probability Scale
Chance of Happening	Value		Chance of Happening	Value
Extremely Low	10%		Medium-High	60%
Very Low	20%		High	70%
Low	30%		Very High	80%
Medium-Low	40%		Extremely High	90%
Medium	50%		Certain	100%

Note that all probabilities refer to the occurrence of at least 5 cm (2 ins) of rainfall.

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HERNAN main page

Documents

Rainfall Probabilities

5+ cm (2+ ins) Rainfall Probabilities

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

12.5+ cm (5+ ins) Rainfall Probabilities

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

20+ cm (8+ ins) Rainfall Probabilities

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

Accumulated Rainfall

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

Position

24 hours lead
48 hours lead
72 hours lead
96 hours lead
120 hours lead

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Researched and Developed by Adam Lea, Mark Saunders and Frank Roberts
TSR Version 4.0 Copyright © 2007 UCL University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT
Last updated on 31 Oct, 2006 9:52 GMT

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